Scenario Runner

What-if analysis across AEGIS verticals

Scenario Runner (What-If)

AGSI Score68.4%

CAUTION

72h Projection

Status quo maintained. Russian hybrid ops continue at current tempo. Iranian nuclear reconstitution proceeds covertly. Sahel JNIM expansion continues. No major escalation in 72h window.

Triggers:

• If US aid to Ukraine suspended → Ukrainian front-line pressure escalates to CRITICAL
• If Iran denies IAEA access → Nuclear escalation track accelerates

Vertical Impacts

CYBER / IR

HIGH

ENERGY / CI

MODERATE

BORDER / TT

HIGH

SUPPLY CHAIN

→

MODERATE

SCN-20260307-BASELINE-DEMO